Forecast Discussion for TBW NWS Office
935
FXUS62 KTBW 011130
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
730 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
...New AVIATION...
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 728 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Prevailing VFR conditions with winds less than 12 knots expected
through the forecast period. Rain and storm chances remain on the
low side again, so will only mention at LAL for VCSH during the late
afternoon hours between 20-03Z.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Troughing remains in place aloft east of the region early this
morning and will slowly be replaced by weak ridging through the rest
of the week before some shortwave energy moves by to our north this
weekend. Ridging then takes hold again early next week. At the
surface, high pressure over the Atlantic will generally remain in
control, with an east to southeast flow giving way to the west
coast sea breeze each day. We will see rain chances each day,
though some days with higher chances than others. For today,
expect a pretty similar setup as yesterday, with some showers and
a thunderstorm or two over the interior late in the day. East flow
will increase a bit for Thursday and a bit more for Friday,
leading to isolated shower activity shifting closer to the west
coast. We might see a slight uptick in the number of showers for
the weekend, then we go right back to about a 20 PoP or lower
through early next week. Overall, not much to speak of with fairly
typical early May weather.
&&
.MARINE...
East to southeast winds will remain over the waters through the next
several days, giving way to the sea breeze each afternoon. No
headlines are expected through the next week or so.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 89 71 90 72 / 10 0 20 0
FMY 89 70 90 70 / 20 10 20 10
GIF 90 68 91 68 / 20 10 20 0
SRQ 88 69 89 70 / 10 0 10 0
BKV 90 63 92 65 / 10 0 20 0
SPG 86 73 88 74 / 10 0 10 0
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
AVIATION...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Hubbard
NWS TBW Office Area Forecast Discussion
